Will the basketball be bad when the NBA resumes?

  • Co-author, Pro Basketball Prospectus series
  • Formerly a consultant with the Indiana Pacers
  • Developed WARP rating and SCHOENE system

The new NBA calendar means that there will be almost five months between games for NBA players and teams because of the coronavirus pandemic. What quality of play can we expect when the 2019-20 season restarts in Orlando?

We know that the level of play won’t be exactly the same after an extended layoff and shortened training camps. The outcome will also depend on how many players, if any, decide to opt out of the restart rather than be isolated from their families for an extended period.

Let’s look at what we’ve seen when players come back from the offseason and after lockouts in 1998-99 and 2011-12 — and look ahead at what to expect for the remainder of 2019-20.

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