Raiders vs. Chargers odds, prediction, betting trends for NFL ‘Monday Night Football’

When the Raiders (3-0) travel to face the Chargers in Los Angeles on “Monday Night Football” (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN) to close Week 4 of the 2021 NFL regular season, it will be two teams looking to strengthen their positions in the tough AFC West.

The Raiders have come out hot, outlasting the Ravens and Dolphins at home in overtime with a road win over the Steelers in between. The Chargers won at Washington and Kansas City but fell to Dallas at home in between.

Derek Carr has come out firing while young Justin Herbert has found his groove again. The quarterbacks will be in the spotlight, but it till take a whole team effort to win the game. 

Here’s everything to know about betting on Raiders vs. Chargers in Week 4, including updated odds, trends and our prediction for “Monday Night Football.”

Raiders vs. Chargers odds for ‘Monday Night Football’

(betting odds per FanDuel Sportsbook)

The Chargers have been steady field-goal favorites, or with the standard home-field advantage in a division night game. The point total also has stayed big all week knowing how dangerous both offenses can be around the QBs.

Raiders vs. Chargers all-time series

The Raiders lead the all-time series 66-55-2. The Chargers won the last meeting, 30-27 in overtime at Las Vegas last Dec. 17. Before then, the Raiders, out of Oakland, had won three straight. Overall, the Chargers have won five of the past eight meetings.

Three trends to know

—More than 51 percent of bettors are feeling like the Chargers will cover as slight home favorites at night

—Nearly 75 percent of bettors think the high total isn’t high enough are taking the over with these two teams on the field.

—The Raiders are 5-5 straight up and 4-6 against the spread in their past 10 games, with 8 of them going over. The Chargers are 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS in their past 10 games, with the total going under 7 times.

Three things to watch

Who will run the ball for the Raiders?

Starter Josh Jacobs (ankle-questionable) is a game-time decision in his quest to return from injury. Peyton Barber, not high-priced free-agent addition Kenyan Drake, was the feature back of choice last week. Coach Jon Gruden wants to stay balanced and get all the tough yards to keep his offense somewhat balanced for Carr. The Chargers are undersized up front and need to be pounded for most offensive effectiveness.

How tough are the Chargers’ wide receivers now?

Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are Herbert’s dynamic veteran duo. Allen is the reliable route-running possession man and Williams has been the big-play “X” all over the field. The Raiders’ secondary has overachieved a little but this 1-2 punch will be difficult for them to cover.

Will Brandon Staley’s defense cool off Carr?

Staley, the Chargers’ rookie coach, is getting more out of his pass rush and playmakers on the back end. Carr needs to be careful forcing the ball into the middle of the field or to the deep perimeter. Carr has been passing for big chunks at will but Los Angeles has the personnel to confuse him.

Stats that matter

65 percent and 7.38. Those are the competition percentage and average yards per attempt Carr has produced in 14 starts against the Chargers, winning 7 of those games. They have had some history and experience holding him in check and he hasn’t passing for 300 yards against them in five years.

Raiders vs. Chargers prediction

The Raiders need to run as much as possible to win, because the Chargers can pressure Carr, contain tight end Darren Waller and also frustrate him in slot coverage. Unfortunately, Carr needs to deliver with Herbert doing what he wants with Allen, Williams and running back Austin Ekeler. The young Staley makes a key statement in the division vs. the savvy Gruden.

Chargers 24, Raiders 20

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