Royal Randwick tips: Ray Thomas and Ron Dufficy’s best bets and analysis

The Daily Telegraph’s racing editor Ray Thomas and Sky Thoroughbred Central’s form expert Ron Dufficy analyse the 10-race program at Royal Randwick on Saturday.

The Form: Complete NSW Racing thoroughbred form, including video replays and all you need to know about every horse, jockey and trainer. Find a winner here!

DUFF’S SUGGESTED BETS

BEST GAMBLES

Race 1, No.6: SUPER EFFORT

Race 7, No.9: MADAM LEGEND

Race 9, No.2: I AM POWER

RAY’S BEST

Race 4, No.4: BADOOSH

Race 3, No.2 LA CHEVALEE

Race 6, No.5: MONEGAL

R1: ATC Thanks Stable Staff Hcp (1300m)

Ron Dufficy: This is a very tough program and in an even first race I am keen on Super Effort. He was dominant winning first-up then ran an eye-catching race last start. I’m convinced he has returned a better horse and will be hard to hold out. I’m very wary of Joviality improving sharply. She should be forgiven for successive wet track failures; we know she is a better horse than that and is a good chance at odds. Skedaddle is lightly raced, has plenty of brilliance about her and should be more effective on a dry track. Seleque is a nice filly and right in contention.

Ray Thomas: Skedaddle showed admirable determination to win at the Kensington midweeks and is ready to handle the step up to Saturday grade. Drawn to get the run of the race and advantaged by the claim. Seleque also comes out of the midweeks but is in very good form winning at Warwick Farm than running second at Canterbury. Perfectly drawn and gets her chance. Super Effort was unlucky at Randwick last start but is another racing in top form and Rustic Steel is an emerging sprinter.

R2: TAB Highway (1200m)

Dufficy: I’m leaning to Philipsburg. He won three from six last preparation showing promise, he was good winning a Goulburn trial and I’m expecting a big finish late. Mr Hussill was very good first-up on a heavy track after 652 days out. The dry track is no problem, he gets a good run and I can’t say no to his chances. His stablemate, Commando Hunt has had four trials leading into this race should be forward enough. He’s a market watch. Danzadel was very good first-up but might want 1400m now.

Thomas: Mr Hussill resumed after nearly two years out for a courageous win in a Highway over this course and distance two weeks ago. He will be even fitter now and the drier track suits. Drawn to advantage and no reason he can’t win again. The value runner is Very Sharp. She has the ability to reel off brilliant closing sectionals and is way over the odds. Danzadel beat all but Mr Hussill first-up and can only improve. I Am Capitan gets the drier track he needs and will be in the mix.

Mr Hussill (right) is looking for back-to-back TAB Highway wins. Photo: Getty Images)Source:Getty Images

R3: ATC Thanks Frontline Workers Hcp (1800m)

Dufficy: I have to stick with La Chevalee. She did well over this track and distance last start, the dry is no issue, the claim helps and she has to be a top chance again. Raccolto is just out of maiden class but I thought he was very good last start and gives the impression this distance will suit. Bring The Ransom has found form, she is very fit and although the distance is a query she rates highly again. So Wicked is back in grade, maps well, and with James McDonald on board she will be popular.

Thomas: We are on the same page with La Chevalee, Ronnie. She was dominant on a heavy track over this course and distance two weeks ago. She is creeping up in the weights and strikes a firmer surface but is racing so well. Bring The Ransom is also racing in top form and if she can run a strong 1800m she will be hard to beat again. Zing doesn’t know how to run a bad race and My Demetra has been improved by two solid runs since resuming.

R4: The Agency Real Estate Hcp (1800m)

Dufficy: Criminal Code looks a nice horse. He is ready for 1800m on a dry track, gets the claim for in-form apprentice Brock Ryan and will be hard to beat. Savvy Legend is the main danger. I don’t mind him down in the weights and back to the dry on his home track. Mr Gee has found his form now and is another who does no work from the inside draw and should be in the finish again. Badoosh is going well without winning, will like getting back to a dry track and Hugh Bowman might be able to get the best out of him.

Thomas: Badoosh was a touch unlucky in the La Chevalee race two weeks ago. He struck trouble a couple of times in the straight but when clear he hit the line strongly. Working up to a win and will appreciate the better track conditions. Criminal Code finished strongly to beat Bring The Ransom over 1600m here two weeks ago. The extra distance won’t trouble him and his best form has been on good tracks. Bethencourt is down in the weights and should go close. Mr Gee has been impressive at the midweeks winning strong form races.

The in-form Zorocat will be hard to beat in the Midway. Photo: Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images

R5: Midway Hcp (1300m)

Dufficy: Zorocat is a terrific trier on wet and dry tacks. She has a nice draw, takes control and will be hard to run down again. Rock My Wand will appreciate the drop in class and gets her chance. Catapult is third-up on a dry track and is wound up now. He’s a big improver. If there is to be an upset it might be Foxborough who has sprinted well fresh in the past and I’m expecting a big finish from her.

Thomas: Zorocat ran her rivals ragged in very heavy conditions to win here two weeks ago. Talented filly and she is just as effective on firmer tracks. Drawn the rails and is the one to catch again. Metro Legend had been racing consistently before a luckless run last start. Freshened since and expect an improved run. Lisdoonvarna does get back in her races but has a strong finish and is a value runner. Lord Zoulander can mix his form but is capable on his day.

R6: ATC Thank You Owners Hcp (1500m)

Dufficy: Canasta gets his chance, Ray. He has had a bit of racing but is busting to win a race and 1500m is the key. He is a mad railer and should get his opportunity to win again. Think Free is an underrated mare who caught the eye last start. Wairere Falls is up in class but very fit and gets weight relief. Café Royal should get across easily enough to sit outside Canasta and will run well.

Thomas: Monegal is value at double figure odds. She was tremendous first-up storming home for third to Vitesse at Randwick on a heavy track two weeks ago. Most of her best form is on top of the ground, too. Canasta is very tough and will be in front for a long way. Think Free finished just in front of Monegal last start and is holding her form this winter. European import Dick Whittington is trialling well and is one to watch at his Australian debut.

Canasta can breakthrough for a well-deserved win. Photo: Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images

R7: Moet & Chandon Hcp (1400m)

Dufficy: I like Madam Legend. She is five weeks between runs and has had a trial since a soft first-up win. There have been a couple of winners come out of that race already and Madam Legend appears up to the class rise on Saturday. Surf Dancer is an improver. He did more than enough at his Australian debut on a very heavy track and has more upside than most. Le Gai Soleil has blinkers on and is suited this grade. Blondeau got all the breaks to win last start but is too honest to dismiss.

Thomas: Le Gai Soleil got bogged down last start in the Winter Stakes but she is a talented mare who will appreciate the drier track. She has a powerful finish and is a value runner in a tough race. Surf Dancer was very good at his Australian debut and can only improve. Blondeau was very well ridden to win last start and has maintained good form right through his winter campaign. Madam Legend is a promising mare who will be hard to beat again.

R8: Precise Air Hcp (1000m)

Dufficy: In a tough race, I’m with Sixgun. I know he hasn’t won in a long time but he gets blinkers, he’s fit and has the claim. This looks a suitable race as he can ride what looks to be a hot speed and will be strong late. Miss Dior did enough first-up and from a beautiful draw should run well again. I’m very interested in Battleground. He hasn’t raced for a while but is talented when right. A bit of early market support suggests he is in order. Van Giz is a versatile mare who will be around the mark.

Thomas: Miss Dior was very good first-up beating all but her race-fit, in-form Our Bellagio Miss. Fitter now, the drier track suits and drawn to get her chance. De Grawin has had a few chances this campaign but this is her right distance and she will be in the race for a long way. I agree Sixgun does look nicely placed here and rates highly. I’m expecting an improved run from Nikohli Beagle back on a drier track.

The addition of blinkers can help Sixgun get back to winning form. Photo: AAP ImageSource:AAP

R9: Fujitsu General Hcp (1100m)

Dufficy: I like I Am Power. I suggest it was just a little wet for him last start when he was seven weeks between runs. He sets up well here on a dry track with the claim. Best Stone beat Spaceboy in a recent trial and with James McDonald riding 55kg that is a strong lead for her. Spaceboy is well placed with the claim and the stable is in great form. Just Field is flying and although she is up in class she will run well.

Thomas: Spaceboy was very good when resuming at Flemington, going under narrowly carrying a big weight. With the claim, Spaceboy gets in well this time and he will take catching. Our Bellagio Miss is in career-best form and has a great chance of bringing up a hat-trick Saturday wins. I Am Power does look well placed here and I also thought Best Stone trialled brilliantly indicated she will be hard to beat.

R10: ATC Thank You Trainers Hcp (1300m)

Dufficy: Another impossible race. I’m guessing a bit with Kordia. He drops in class, back to a dry track and with James McDonald taking the ride for Godolphin looks hard to beat. Snitzify has had two trials and should find a good spot from the draw. He’s A Hotshot meets Cuban Royale 1.5kg better at the weights and should get the right run. I can’t rule out Cuban Royale even though he might have got the breaks last week because he never runs a bad race.

Thomas: He’s A Hotshot has struggled on the wet tracks this winter but indicated a return to winning form was imminent with his close second at Rosehill last week. This is his chance. Ranges is racing consistently and will be in the mix despite his awkward draw. Night Of Power looks to have come back in good order, Cuban Royale was impressive last start and has to rate highly again.

SATURDAY EXTRA

BEST BETS WITH SHAYNE O’CASS

MUSWELLBROOK

BEST BET

Race 4: No.12: MY KHALEESI

On the one hand she has been costly but on the bright side, she has been looking to get out to a longer trip for some time now.

NEXT BEST

Race 7, No.4: BRIGHT RUBICK

Well performed mare who has real depth to her form including a last start second at Randwick to Nicci’s Song beating Zorocat. Won 3 and second once in 4 runs here.

VALUE BET

Race 6, No.6: FORBIDDEN PALACE

Flashy chestnut whose two career wins have both been here at the home track. Just needs a good tempo and Reece Jones can do the rest.

QUADDIE

Race 5: 1,4,8

Race 6: 6,11

Race 7: 4

Race 8: 6,10,12,13,14

JOCKEY TO FOLLOW

Reece Jones rode over 100 winners in the 2020/21 season in what was a breakout year for the talented Scone based apprentice.

MOREE

BEST BET

Race 4, No.11: LOVE SICK

Won here at his first NSW run for Brodie Fenton back in December last year. Trialling up a storm ahead of Saturday’s return. Go well.

NEXT BEST

Race 6, No.13: RINGSIDE

Locally trained son of Stratum. Gets back in his races but can usually be trusted to be finishing off hard at the end.

VALUE BET

Race 2, No.6: BEAUTY EMPRESS

Started $51 and $41 in her only two runs to date but ran better than her price at each of the. Looks well suited in this grade/race.

Originally published asRay and Duff: Legend to add to her story

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